Indiana Prediction
My latest Indiana prediction for the Democratic Nomination is Sanders 52.6 %, Clinton 47.4 %.
Sanders is doing very well in the search trend.
The model includes the polling data, FB likes, Google search trends, past election results, and demographics (race, income, sex, age, education).
Other Models
Tyler Pendigo - Sanders 52.6 / Clinton 47.4
Benchmark Politics - Clinton 51.4 / Sanders 48.2 (Other: 0.4%) - so rebalanced - it is Clinton 51.6 / Sanders 48.4
Pollster Average - Clinton 54.1 / Sanders 45.9
PredictIt - Clinton 72% chance of winning.
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Wow that was close
While the final result isn't in, it looks like Sanders won 52.6% to 52.8%.
My uncounted-votes model says 52.8%, CNN 52.6%, and DecisionDesk 52.7%. So my estimate error was 0% to 0.2%.
Comparing me to Tyler
If you want to differ my model from Tyler's. I'm predicting 52.5577%.
Final result: Sanders
Final result: Sanders 52.45%. So I was off by 0.1%.